Cotton sector questions FCA target of 9.64 million bales for 2026-27

Pakistan’s cotton sector has raised concerns over the Federal Committee on Agriculture’s production target of 9.64 million bales for 2026-27, calling it inconsistent with recent output trends.

Industry representatives said the target-setting process lacks alignment with ground realities, noting that crop estimates are fixed without comprehensive data or stakeholder consultation, leading to gaps between projections and actual production.

According to data from the Pakistan Cotton Ginners’ Association, the 2025-26 target of 10.2 million bales resulted in production of around 5.6 million bales, while previous seasons also recorded significant shortfalls.

Stakeholders said the continued gap between targets and output has created uncertainty, particularly for importers who rely on accurate estimates to plan procurement strategies.

They added that the absence of a clear revival strategy and weak enforcement of crop zoning policies remain key challenges for the sector.

Industry representatives also pointed to the expansion of sugarcane cultivation, especially in south Punjab, which has reduced land available for cotton.

They said unrealistic targets without policy measures could increase reliance on imports of cotton and edible oil, adding pressure on the external account.

Stakeholders called for realistic production estimates, stronger enforcement of zoning laws and policy support to improve domestic output.