Pakistan’s short-term inflation rises 4.34% YoY amid higher food prices

Prices of chicken, onions and wheat flour rose sharply, while tomatoes, bananas and potatoes recorded declines.

Pakistan’s short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), rose 4.34% year-on-year during the week ended October 9, 2025, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS). The weekly increase stood at 0.17%.

The PBS data showed that prices rose for 21 essential items, declined for six, and remained unchanged for 24 of the 51 commodities tracked across 50 markets in 17 cities. 

The most notable increases were recorded in chicken (8.92%), onions (7.47%) and wheat flour (5.74%), while tomatoes fell 11.34%, followed by bananas (1.29%) and potatoes (0.93%).

Other items showing increases included eggs (2.25%), gur (1.70%), garlic (0.86%), vegetable ghee (up to 0.86%), firewood (0.50%) and washing soap (0.23%). Items that declined further included LPG (0.59%), pulse gram (0.35%) and mustard oil (0.07%).

Across income groups, the SPI rose between 0.14% and 0.20%, with the highest weekly increase observed among upper-middle-income households.

On an annual basis, the SPI reflected persistent inflationary pressures from food and energy costs. Steep yearly increases were reported in tomatoes (109.82%), ladies’ sandals (55.62%), sugar (36.08%) and gas charges for the lowest slab (29.85%). Wheat flour (17.70%), pulse moong (15.90%), gur (13.79%), beef (12.66%), diesel (12.57%) and vegetable ghee (up to 11.86%) also saw significant rises.

Meanwhile, annual price declines were recorded in onions (43.16%), garlic (28.16%), electricity charges for Q1 (26.26%), pulse gram (24.97%), chicken (24.30%), potatoes (18.51%), pulse mash (18.17%) and tea (17.93%).

PBS data indicated that while inflation has eased from last year’s levels, food price volatility remains high. Officials said seasonal changes and adjustments in fuel and energy tariffs could affect inflation trends in the coming weeks.

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