Pakistan’s 5G mirage: The spectrum gamble threatening digital dreams

Telecom sector grows restless as auction delays reveal regulatory shortcomings

The contradiction is stark enough to make any economist wince. While Pakistan’s telecommunications operators struggle with the most basic financial metrics, revenues plummeting from $5.0 billion in 2016 to $3.4 billion in 2023 despite data consumption exploding by 335%, the government pushes relentlessly toward a 5G future that industry experts warn of dire financial consequences.

The Global System for Mobile Communications Association (GSMA) has delivered an ultimatum that reads like a ransom note: delay spectrum allocation by two years, and Pakistan loses $1.8 billion in GDP growth through 2030. Delay it five years, and that figure balloons to $4.3 billion. Yet the very operators expected to bid in the upcoming 2025 spectrum auction are hemorrhaging cash, operating with one of the world’s lowest average revenue per user at $0.80 compared to a global average of $8.00.

This is Pakistan’s 5G paradox: caught between digital transformation imperatives and brutal economic reality, where the cure for spectrum starvation might prove more toxic than the disease itself.

 

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Ahtasam Ahmad
Ahtasam Ahmad
The author works as an Editorial Consultant at Profit and can be reached at [email protected]

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