Bilal Fibres, a bankrupt textile mill, wants to launch a TikTok competitor

The company appears to have no previous discernible expertise in the market, outlines no compelling case, offers a business plan filled with buzzwords, and is hoping for the best. The stock is up 8 times on the rumour of this turnaround

In the annals of corporate reinvention, few sagas are as bold—or baffling—as that of a struggling textile company pivoting into the digital economy. Yes, you read that correctly. After years of hemorrhaging money — Rs538 million in accumulated losses to be precise—this firm has decided that the best way to save itself is by selling off its factory equipment and becoming, of all things, a tech company. The transformation involves shedding its looms and weaving machines and diving headfirst into a field it has no discernible experience in: ICT (Information and Communication Technology).

It is a daring gambit, considering that this same company has seen its liabilities outpace assets by nearly Rs1 billion. Yet, despite a loss of Rs20 million last year and its appearance on the Defaulter counter of the Pakistan Stock Exchange, the Board of Directors is brimming with confidence. Their solution? A business plan that reads like a tech-bro fever dream, filled with jargon like “digital platforms,” “blockchain,” “creator economy,” and “AI-driven content moderation.” At first glance, it sounds like a last-ditch attempt to woo investors with buzzwords.

The cynic in us might wonder: What exactly qualifies a company that could not keep up with cotton prices or energy shortages to suddenly master artificial intelligence or cloud computing? The Board’s plan includes “innovative technologies” and fintech ventures, areas which typically require not just deep expertise but significant capital investment. This is not some minor pivot; it is an industry leap that many more competent firms have struggled to make.

And what of the finances? The company proposes to sell its factory assets, including old machinery and real estate, to raise an estimated Rs200 million to fund the first phase of this tech pivot. This, despite the reality that proceeds from the sale will first have to be used to settle liabilities. Essentially, the company is gambling that there will be enough left over after paying off its debts to fund a new venture in a highly competitive sector. Call us sceptical, but this feels like a game of corporate Monopoly, where the sale of factories is akin to mortgaging properties in a desperate attempt to stay in the game.

The so-called “digital economy” is presented as the company’s saving grace. The Board points out Pakistan’s growing number of internet users and mobile adoption rates, as if these demographic trends alone will propel the company to success. It is almost as if they believe throwing around terms like “fintech” and “AI” will magically turn red ink into black. Never mind that actual digital transformation requires more than a name change and a new business line—an overhaul in infrastructure, technical skills, and market understanding is crucial. So far, none of that has been evidenced.

The new venture, dubbed BFL Technologies Limited (because, of course, a new name is in order for this shiny new business), intends to develop a TikTok-like social media platform. The business model revolves around content creators and monetization strategies like ad revenue sharing and virtual gifts—something that global tech giants already dominate. How a flailing company in Pakistan plans to compete with the likes of TikTok, Instagram, or YouTube in their own arena is not entirely clear. The marketing plan? Influencer partnerships, social media ads, and contests. Groundbreaking.

Incredibly, the Board expects the company to break even by Year Two, with revenue projections of Rs85 million by Year Three. But revenue forecasts in business plans are famously optimistic; one is tempted to ask if these figures are plucked from thin air or grounded in any real analysis of market potential.

There is also the small matter of regulatory challenges, cybersecurity threats, and intense competition—risks that the business plan waves away with a few lines about “AI-driven content moderation” and “proactive engagement with regulators.” In reality, these are deep-pocketed concerns that can derail even seasoned tech firms. Given this company’s track record, confidence in their ability to navigate such complex issues is, to put it politely, misplaced.

In sum, the revival business plan appears to be less about strategy and more about sheer hope. What began as a textile company limping along in the red now wants to remake itself as a tech powerhouse, powered by little more than asset sales and a prayer. It is a tale as old as time: the buzzword-filled pivot as the last refuge for a business in distress. If history is any guide, it will not end well.

Unfortunately, at least some stock market investors appear to be falling for the shtick. The company’s stock has languished below the Rs3 per share mark for most of the year in trading on the Pakistan Stock Exchange, but starting in late August, started a massive and rather suspicious surge in price, skyrocketing from Rs2.82 per share on August 26, 2024 to Rs21.42 per share on September 23. The exchange appears to at least be making inquiries about the nature of that stock run-up, especially since it came before any announcement from the company.

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