The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) in a much anticipated MPC meeting has raised the policy rate by 100 basis points. The effective policy (target) rate now stands at 17%, which is its highest level in over 25 years.
With this latest development, Pakistan now stands as the country with the 13th highest interest rate in the world, with only countries of the likes of Iran, Sudan, Sierra Leone, Ukraine, Argentina and Zimbabwe ahead of it. The decision was prompted by higher than expected inflation rates and inflation expectation.
Deciphering the Monetary Policy Statement
The monetary policy statement stated that inflationary pressures have been on the rising trend, despite a tight monetary policy. The inflationary pressure is stated as “broad-based” and “persistent”, and it is deemed critical to anchor this pressure or long-term sustainable growth. The statement added that “short-term costs of bringing down inflation are lower than the long-term costs of allowing it to become entrenched”.
The MPC statement noted that core inflation had still been on a rising trend. This means that non-food, non-energy inflation, that has little to no relation to exogenous shocks, and should have otherwise stayed within the target could still not be tamed at the 16% mark. The statement also took note of the fact that the inflation outlook was also on the rise causing the risk of more inflation.
The committee also stated that, “the global economic and financial conditions broadly remain uncertain in the near-to-short term”, and an expected economic slowdown and fall in the global demand could mean even worse circumstances for exporters.
The MPC statement, on its outlook of the real sector notes that the “downside risks on the SBP’s growth outlook for this year have increased” owing to shutting down of various production cuts and supply chain constraints faced by the industries. This means that the low growth rate target set by the state bank might end up being lower than anticipated. The MPC has noted moderate economic activity in response to policy tightening, and “exogenous shocks” like the floods.
The MPC statement, in its assessment of the external sector, also states that the “effective implementation of energy conservation measures and appropriate pricing of petroleum products is critical for much-needed reduction in energy imports”. The statement regards the 60% reduction in CAD over December, a result of tight policy and another factor that the statement refers to as, “administrative measures”.
However, “the MPC (also) views that the completion of the pending 9th review under the IMF’s EFF (to be) critical for reducing uncertainty and unlocking multilateral and bilateral inflows.)
The MPC also states that “the current fiscal stance is inconsistent with monetary tightening”. The statement points out that the FBR tax collection grew slower than the budget target.
With a medium term inflation target of 5-7% for December 2024, the MPC aims to control the inflation expectations. A feat that is increasingly difficult to achieve where the December 2022 CPI inflation was recorded at over 24%.
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ثبت نام در بعضی سایت شرط بندی با درگاه مانند سایت حضرات بت رایگان می باشد؛ اما با این وجود آن چه بعد ثبت نام اهمیت دارد، حداقل شارژ حساب می باشد. همان طور که می دانید از بهترین روش ها برای شارژ حساب در حضرات بت استفاده از درگاه بانکی می باشد، علاوه بر درگاه می توان از ووچر مانی، پرفکت مانی، بیت کوین و غیره نیز برای شارژ استفاده کرد.
خرید سایت سایت شرط بندی بازی انفجار
بدون شک اگر بازی انفجار را تجربه کرده باشید با کمی مطالعه و تمرین توانسته اید سود های خود و بالایی را برای خود رقم بزنید. این موضوع زیاد دور از ذهن نیست و می توانید از این طریق حتی درامد های ثابت داشته باشید. برای این درامد ثابت راه های زیادی در دسترس می باشد که خب یکی از تئوری های موجود به راه اندازی سایت اشاره دارد!