Saif Power struggles in life outside guaranteed returns contracts

Profits exist, but margins are meager relative to the old heyday, and the company has no clear plans for growth

Saif Power Ltd (SPWL) began calendar-year 2025 with what at first glance looks like a respectable rebound. First-quarter net turnover rose 40% year-on-year to Rs1.49 billion, yet the surge in fuel and maintenance costs meant cost of sales almost doubled (+99%) and the gross margin collapsed from 43% to 19%. After finance costs, the company eked out only Rs36 million in net profit – just 2.4% of revenue – even though that figure is 16-times the Rs2 million booked a year earlier.

Look further back and the picture is no prettier. Full-year 2024 revenue halved to Rs9.67 billion from Rs19.04 billion in 2023 as plant utilisation sank to an abysmal 8.23%, despite an impressive 94.2% availability factor. In other words, the 225 MW combined-cycle plant was mechanically ready but seldom dispatched by the grid operator.

The perpetual curse of Pakistan’s independent power producers – ballooning receivables from the Central Power Purchasing Agency (CPPA-G) – is back with a vengeance. Although a landmark settlement in early 2025 released Rs5.2 billion of overdue invoices, receivables had already rebuilt to between Rs2 billion and Rs2.5 billion by May . As of 31 December 2024, the figure still stood at Rs8.2 billion, even after management voluntarily waived Rs1.36 billion in late-payment interest to secure the deal.

 

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